In the past few years, Freddie Freeman (Freddie Freeman) has brought some memorable microphone playback moments to baseball fans, so here is a requirement: every time Atlanta and Cincinnati meet, please Liman microphone plays.

We can all use more dialogue between Freeman and Joey Votto.

“When you talk to him about batting first, it’s like talking to Chipper Jones to me,” Freeman told Sports News last week. “Chipper would say,’Just tap with your toe and everything will be fine.’ I thought,’Well, Chip, not everyone is Chip Jones. Not everyone is Joey Watt. How he thinks about hitting, talking about hitting and thinking about hitting, it is difficult to reach that level, because I think he is more energetic than others in that situation and it is difficult to understand what he is thinking.”

More Cooperstown cases: Jacob DeGrom | Freddie Freeman

Wattau’s career is fascinating. He fits the zero traditional baseball mold perfectly.

He is called the underrated star and the overrated star-sometimes in the same season! No baseball fan-including fans-likes to find a game more: Player X is like player Y, or player X mixes player Y’s game footage with the best parts of player Z’s game.

But Watt? good luck. He is just Joseph Daniel Watt. He is his own person and we are fortunate to be able to see him play in his own way.

“When you can be a frightening batsman for 15 years, this is what he is doing, and this is all you can ask for,” Freeman said. “You know that another team is planning a game next to you. As a batsman, you know that when you walk into that box, everything is about you, and that’s how Joey Voto has his entire career. When other teams try to bypass you, you are the best in the game.”

Woto turns 38 on September 10 and has a two-season contract with an annual contract of $25 million and a $20 million club option ($7 million buyout) in 2024. After disappointing total power in the 2018-19 season—an average of 14 home runs and 57 RBIs in 144 games in these two seasons—Votto experienced some power/professional revival in 2022.

He may not have reached the Peak Votto level of performance, but he showed that the lost power stroke is a decline, not a new normal, and he is definitely a catalyst for Cincinnati to promote a potential playoff spot in 2022. This season, Votto has .924 OPS, 23 home runs and 68 RBIs in 83 games. He has 318 professional home runs and is only a few of them away from 2,000 hits in his career.

Is he from Cooperstown? Let’s take a look.

Cooperstown Case

We will start from where each Hall of Fame conversation begins, starting with the JAWS leaderboard page on the Baseball Reference. The three main numbers are WAR, then WAR7 (the seven best seasons of WAR, not necessarily consecutive for the player’s career) and JAWS (a rating created by Jay Jaffe to help compare players from different eras) . Therefore, among players who are primarily first basemen, the average bWAR/WAR7/JAWS line is 66.9/42.7/54.8

Votto is at 62.5/46.9/54.7. That’s very close. He is lower than a tick in one category, higher than a tick in another category, and desperate in a third category. Keep in mind that these are average numbers for Hall of Fame first basemen, not for the “worst” Hall of Fame first basemen. Willie McCovey is a different type of batter from Votto, but his last sentence is surprisingly similar: 64.5/44.9/54.7. McCovey ended with 521 home runs. He was elected in the first year of the ballot and was elected in 1986 with 81.4%.

At his peak, Votto was a basic machine. He has led NL in this category seven times, not including the year he was second only to Bryce Harper in this category (0.460 vs. 0.459). In fact, here is the full list of first basemen (at least 40% of professional games in the beginning), they have at least 300 home runs, and the percentage on base is 0.415 or higher:

Lou Grieg 493 Human Resources .447 OBP
Jimmy Fox 534 Human Resources .428 OBP
Frank Thomas 521 Human Resources .419 OBP
Joey Watt 318 Human Resources .417 OBP

Yes, only four first basemen in baseball history have reached these two benchmarks. It’s really a good company.

This is another club of choice, using the same 40% qualification: first basemen reaching 3/4/5 plateau, which means their career average score is 0.300 or higher and their career base percentage is 0.400 or higher , And a professional strike percentage of .500 or higher:

Lou Glick .340/.447/.632
Jimmy Fox .325/428/.609
Frank Thomas .301/.419/.555
Joey Watt .303/.417/.519
Todd Helton .316/.414/.539

Yes. Only Helton, currently in the BBWAA voting, joined the group.

Cooperstown’s hesitation

Advanced indicators like Votto. More traditional counting statistics, not so many. It constitutes a complicated Cooperstown case. Although he has played in a position usually associated with heavy hitters and base runners throughout his career, he has never really been called a true elite heavy hitter-despite playing this summer in seven consecutive games. Base hits. He won’t win many points among more traditional voters.

Example 1: Votto has 1,034 RBIs in his career. Among players who hit one base in at least 40% of professional games, this ranks only 62nd in MLB history. Not very good. He is behind the likes of Mark Grace (1,146), Wally Joyner (1,106), Kent Helbeck (1,086) and Jeff Corning (1,077). Good players, of course, but no one has been in the BBWAA voting for more than a year, only Grace is even close to making his second appearance.

Example 2: Votto has 318 home runs. He is at the top of this ranking, ranking 37th. Nevertheless, this is still behind non-Cooperstown players, such as outfielders (Cecile and Prince each have 319 points, which is a terrible statistic), Movaughan (328 points) and Tino Martin Nath (339 points).

Example 3: Votto’s career hit rate will soon reach 2,000 (he is 1,992), and many people seem to think that this is what changed him from “possible” to “locked”. I’m not sure if this is the case. Let’s look at a list of first basemen with at least 300 home runs, 1,000 RBIs, and 1,900 hits (also qualified for 40%):

do you know? We will not provide every name in this list because it has 27 names.

And, of course, there are many Hall of Fame members on the list, as well as Derek Lee, Lee May and Tino Martinez. Woto hit 318 home runs, 1,992 hits, and 1,034 RBI points, but Adrian Gonzalez ended the game with 317, 2,050, and 1,202 points. He played the last game in 2018, which means he will participate in the 2024 ballot. His career is absolutely outstanding, but there is not exactly the same topic as Adrian Beltre, the new voter Adrian Beltre in 2024, Joe Maur and Chase Utley.

Votto is much higher than Gonzalez in WAR and JAWS-Votto is 62.5 and 54.7, Gonzalez is 43.5 and 39.1-this is a separator, but when trying to balance Votto’s resume, in fact, he is in three ways with Gonzalez made more important categories to his disadvantage.

These two ballot count statistics will stop more than one voter.

Similar to the Hall of Fame

I told you that finding an accompaniment for Votto is not easy.

Gehrig, Foxx, and Thomas are the only three first basemen in the Hall of Fame who have a higher base rate than Votto, but they are more traditional home run players. There are two first basemen in the lobby. They both have similar home runs and top runs: Hank Greenberg (331, .408) and Johnny Mize (359, .397), but both players missed more than three years of military service during the World War II. Obviously, this is not the same thing.

As we mentioned, McCovey has similar WAR/JAWS statistics, but he is not the same type of batsman. Dan Bruthers’ career on-base rate was 0.415, but he played from 1879 to 1904, which is not a good combination.

So, basically, there is no good Hall of Fame combination, which in itself is very interesting.

Similar non-Hall of Fame members

Lance Berkman. Long-term Astro and short-term Yankee, Cardinal and Ranger divided his career (although not evenly distributed) into outfield (964 career starts) and first base (726 career starts), so he is in this respect Votto is different. But on the plate, he is a very similar batsman. He can bounce the ball over the fence regularly, but he knows how to walk and hit the ball. As you will see, his career basically matches Votto’s current state, even though Votto has not yet finished; Berkman played his last game at 37 years and 219 days, and Voto is now 37. Years and 335 days.

Votto has nine seasons with an on-base percentage of 0.400 or higher, and Berkman has eight seasons (plus another at 0.399). Both have eight seasons with an OPS+ of 140 or higher (Votto is 132 this year, so he can reach 9). Berkman has more than 20 home runs in 11 seasons, while Wattau has 9 seasons. Both have been in the top seven of the MVP voting for six seasons; Watto won one, and Berkman’s best result was third (twice).

Let us look at some of their figures.

Voto 1,854 g .303/.417/.519 318 Human Resources 1,034 Reserve Bank of India 80 SB 426 2B 148 Operation and Maintenance+ 62.5 bWAR
Berkman 1,879 g .294/.406/.537 366 Human Resources 1,234 Reserve Bank of India 86 SB 422 2B 144 Operation and Maintenance+ 52.0 bar

Isn’t it similar? Berkman received only 5 votes in the BBWAA vote, accounting for 1.2% of the vote. Players need to obtain at least 5% of the voting rights to remain on the ballot for the previous year. There is no doubt that Berkman’s lonely year was very crowded. Four players — freshmen Mariano Rivera and Roy Haradi, plus Mike Musina and Edgar Martinez — got the necessary 75%, and the other six players at least That’s 39.8%. That is 10 players, 39.8% (Fred McGriff, in his last year of qualification) or higher, voters can only vote for 10 players. So unbelievably, the other 10 players are somewhere between Berkman and McGriff. Guys, that was a crowded ballot.

Now, if voters are not restricted and are allowed to vote for players they think are worthy of Cooperstown, not just a combination of 10 people, will Berkman hold on for at least another year? Yes, if their votes are not limited to 10 votes, then 16 voters seem likely to think it is worthwhile to switch batsmen.

forecast

If Voto had played sometime before the 1980s, I am not sure if Cooperstown will be his future. There is no statistical data to correctly assess his skills, and counting the numbers is the most important thing. Look at Gil Hodges and his 370 home runs outside the hall.

But this is a different era, and he is considered a future Hall of Fame member in the game.

“I think so,” Freeman said. “He is a 3/4/5 person, which is difficult to do. Most people can’t even concentrate, especially in today’s game, when you face three different pitchers in a game. Obviously, he still has a few years to go, but his work is impressive.”

So yes. Votto will enter. It may not appear in the first round of voting-perhaps when he is eligible, the 10 vote rule will be a thing of the past-but in the end, he will join Larry Walker and Ferguson Jenkins as a Canadian native in Cooperstown.





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